Very seldom does a candidate walk into an E Board meeting and concede defeat five weeks before the election, but that's the interesting strategy of Matt Funiciello who tells the Times and others Rep. Elise Stefanik will win but his goal is to finish second ahead of Democrat Mike Derrick and in the process discourage a Dem candidacy in 2018, giving Funiciello a clear one on one with the incumbent.
It's hard to finish second, despite Mr. Funiciello's name recognition and the appeal of his outsider message in a year featuring Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.
The reason is what I call the 'turnip vote.' A certain percentage of the electorate would vote for a turnip if it was listed on a major party line.
My prediction is 55-30-15. Jot it down and let me know if I'm right.