Do those issues have the traction this year to propel either of the possible Republican candidates in the River District to a win over Democrat Addie Russell, who clearly has learned the pitfalls of running a mediocre campaign ?
Assemblywoman Russell with Longtime Democratic Operative Ted Ford.
Sheldon Silver is gone and so is his GOP Senate counterpart. Albany corruption is widely dismissed as a "they all do it" resignation by voters. The new Speaker isn't on the lips of NNY voters and he even visited here.
Winning that seat would require a strong organizational effort and money. The money made available last time isn't there this time.
Neither Russ Finley or John Byrne is well positioned on these fronts , but Mr. Byrne could look forward to the considerable opposition research done on him but not deemed needed to be used last time.
On May 5th SLC Conservatives meet but its unclear if they can deliver the W/P and so far there is no evidence of an all out race against Ms. Russell. The Indy line W/P goes to whoever the GOP says should get it. And who's going to go out and get all those minor party petitions ? Usually it's Ritchie staffers but how much do they care about the iconoclast Finley or Mr. Byrne, who was backed last time as anybody-but-Addie without any vetting.
Nobody cares much about an Assembly seat and for the lawyering class in the GOP the real money is in a DA spot or a judgeship.
Looks to me like it ends up Russell-Finley race with the incumbent the early favorite.