Wednesday, April 6, 2016

WDT: Chaos in Cleveland? Odds of contested convention increase

      As a former newsman and one interested in politics, the prospect of chaos in Cleveland is something leaving me saying "bring it on !'
       I listen to all these anchors on TV bemoaning a contested convention, and all worried about a "riot" or a floor fight.
        If you are in news, this is what you should live for....Lots of primaries, intrigue and turmoil leading to the selection of a candidate.
        So much of today's reporters are dainty and woefully unaware of history.
         What if some of these prissy things had to cover Democrats in 1924 when it took 103 ballots to select John Davis as the nominee ?  And he went on to get crushed by Calvin Coolidge, who was in the news lately as the lost President to visit Cuba before Mr. Obama.
Watertown Daily Times | Chaos in Cleveland? Odds of contested convention increase


Anonymous said...

Yeah, the hand wringing over the ins and outs of the primaries kinda remind me of the weather forecasters who always act like it ain't ever happened before.

Anonymous said...

The odds that a contested convention may go up and down but the odds that they can choose anyone other than Trump or cruz is zero.

Unless Trump is doing this just so he donate his delgates to someone like Christie. That would be fun.

Danny M. Francis (Eyepublius) said...

GOP headed for "Contested" convention - some election watchers predict ... that is that anyway? Contested Convention 101:


Basics: Since most delegates are required by state law or party rules to vote based on primary or caucus results, a candidate who secures the support of at least 50% plus one delegate (GOP: 1,237 delegates required in 2016) automatically wins the party nomination.

Historically, the identities of eventual nominees are known long before conventions begin since most frontrunners usually accumulate delegates far beyond the required minimum well in advance.

There have been two instances when the candidates have failed to do so.

1. The most recent one was in 1976, where the incumbent, former president Gerald Ford, who was locked in a fierce battle against another former president Ronald Reagan, failed to secure the 1,128 delegates required to lock in his nomination.

That led to a contested convention, where delegates had to cast their votes to determine the party presidential nominee. Ford eventually prevailed over Reagan after the first round of balloting by 1,187 to 1,070 delegates. Had Ford been unsuccessful in winning the majority, the second round of balloting would elevate the delegates into free agents, and allow them to vote for whomever they desire.

2. In 1948, in Philadelphia, the Republican Party witnessed its first ever contested election.

That was when an eleven-man field (including ballots for "Favorite Son", a popular "none of the above" choice) prevented the frontrunner, NY Gov. Thomas E. Dewey, from obtaining the required 548 delegates to clinch the nomination. The heated and hot-tempered contest, which featured, among others, five-star general and war hero General Douglas MacArthur and Ohio Senator Robert A. Taft, finally ended after the third round of voting after Senator Taft conceded defeat and the other candidates fell in line.