I noticed in the photos of Kellie Greene's presser an old friend in the audience who is a leading player in the local right to life movement. I suspect her core of support will be from the RTL folks, scattered Tea Party activists and remnants of the Doug Hoffman effort from 2010. That's a good start for someone who just registered to vote back in NNY six weeks ago and is now running for Congress.
That network of people will have to be the ones to go out and gather nominating petitions as all the GOP committee people are supporting frontrunner Matt Doheny, who has a big head start in building grass roots support within the party.
The other significant factor is the Conservative Party, run by Mike Long. Mr. Long is being coy for now but I don't see him going off the reservation and risk a stranded candidate on Line C who is also not on the Republican line. That scenario is widely credited with Rep. Bill Owens reelection in 2010 when marginal Democratic seats elsewhere were falling.
The old saying "the best election is no election" suggests Mr. Doheny's prospects are not aided by a primary. That's true in a sense, but a hard right opponent accusing Mr. Doheny of being a "moderate" is not all bad for Doheny's prospects in the general election against Rep. Owens. This is at best a mildly red district and has a history of electing moderate Republicans like John McHugh, Doug Barclay, Jim Wright and the late Bob Nortz. These are people who don't like talking about abortion or same sex marriage, but in the end the social conservative voters have no other options in November anyway.
The early primary in June offers plenty of time to bind up whatever wounds are created.
Some wags I was chatting with at last night's Chamber dinner were shaking their heads at how much publicity Ms. Greene got including a banner headline front page above the fold in the WDT. Usually the media up here doesn't like the unconventional, but even the most stuffy in journalism like a fresh face and a race to cover. This is the only thing going on in 2012.
If nature abhors a vacuum, so does any political reporter worth his or her salt.
Watertown Daily Times Notebook dump