With one GOP Senator now supporting gay marriage in NY the focus shifts to whether Sen. James Alesi of suburban Rochester can drag two other Republicans into voting for a measure many feel would hurt their relection chances.
While public support for marriage equality is there, its not at a level that support for it is risk free. The Conservative Party has threatened withholding of Line C and that's a real threat in upstate districts that are competitive.
Despite all the "do the right thing" arguments, what proponents need are two Republicans who support the concept and feel secure enough in their race that they can incur the perceived political risk. Frankly, I don't think its a game changer and all will be forgotten by this time next year. Even our own Senator could vote yes and still be reelected easily.
The easiest move for the Governor is to make a quiet pledge to two lawmakers that they won't have to face reelection because a commissionership will be coming their way.
State of Politics Blog