Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Siena: Cuomo Increases Lead Over Paladino

The momentum of a great primary win has evaporated after a couple of horrible weeks on the trail for Carl Paladino....The new Siena Poll has Andrew Cuomo ahead by 34 points among likely voters....63%-26%.
And I not sure that even takes into account Paladino's lackluster debate performance on Monday. Four years ago in the Spitzer landslide, Republican John Faso got 29%, considered at the time the absolute worst a GOP candidate could do. Paladino will be in that range.
Possible winners in this are the third party hopefuls, including Warren Redlich who has attracted little attention but is now seen by some as the Republican who behaves after his low key but effective debate performance.
Democrat leaning voters can also make a statement now on issues like gay marriage or drug law reform by casting votes for candidates like Kristin Davis or even the Green's Howie Hawkings.
The weak performance by Paladino may sink his fledgling Taxpayers Party and Republicans down ballot have to be shaking their heads at the situation at the top of the ticket. Even GOP comptroller hopeful Harry Wilson, considered the most viable, is 17 points behind Tom DiNapoli according to Siena.
For thirteen days, Mr. Paladino will have to go through the motions. I recommend some sightseeing across the state so at least he will have fond memories of a nice vacation before his November 2 beat down.
Siena: Cuomo Increases Lead Over Paladino

3 comments:

TDS said...

Siena is out of whack. They've been consistent outliers since primary day.

Anonymous said...

Fairly accurate however.. Based on the last few elections I cant remember when they were off more than two points locally ..
I,d say based on what they feel and however they judge it
Owens will win by double digits
Darrell has come back and now a tie
Ken will win
Addie will win easily
Cuomo we just got
I think DiNapoli got a slight edge
I,m still interested in tis second ammendment fight in Ogdensburg. I want to see if either Ritchie Doheny Forsythe openly condone it...

Anonymous said...

Thanks Dan
Same old