There is one month until candidates have to start circulating nominating petitions and there is an emerging strategy in the GOP Congressional race.
Matt Doheny is keeping up the pressure by visiting virtually everywhere three Republicans are gathered on a street corner and the media (Liz) has been sold on the notion that Doug Hoffman is not doing much of anything. The narrative is he is raising no money and has no real organization.
The strategy is to further convince party activists and media that this is no longer a race......all in the hope someone (probably Mike Long) will give Mr. Hoffman the tap on the shoulder and tell him it's time to go.
The next proof of performance is who is able to circulate nominating petitions. The party establishment who normally get those signatures are in the tank for Doheny.
While Doheny can likely beat Hoffman in a GOP primary in September, that is still a risky scenario because it leaves Hoffman on Line D and threatens to split the conservative and Tea Party vote.
The Doheny strategy is to convince Hoffman to leave. They would certainly find a face saving way to do it, but from their vantage point a primary is problematic.
This is all sound strategy, but one way for Doheny to pile on is a TV buy in the next four weeks. This shows he has money and is for real. It increases the pressure on Hoffman as he is in a bubble left over from last year.
Hoffman's incredible rise from nowhere leaves him feeling he merely picks up where he left off. Not so. Its a different year....different candidates....and different rules.....
If I were Graham Wise instead of a wise Graham, I would turn up the mass media heat now and and start a stampede that will crush Mr. Hoffman's ability to get on the ballot and retain the D Line.
Just showing up in Speculator for a dinner Hoffman skipped is a start...but that alone won't finish him off. He needs to have people he trusts tell him its time to go.
Of course, I am just a blogger and not a licensed political operative, so take this all with the requisite grain of salt.