There is one month until candidates have to start circulating nominating petitions and there is an emerging strategy in the GOP Congressional race.
Matt Doheny is keeping up the pressure by visiting virtually everywhere three Republicans are gathered on a street corner and the media (Liz) has been sold on the notion that Doug Hoffman is not doing much of anything. The narrative is he is raising no money and has no real organization.
The strategy is to further convince party activists and media that this is no longer a race......all in the hope someone (probably Mike Long) will give Mr. Hoffman the tap on the shoulder and tell him it's time to go.
The next proof of performance is who is able to circulate nominating petitions. The party establishment who normally get those signatures are in the tank for Doheny.
While Doheny can likely beat Hoffman in a GOP primary in September, that is still a risky scenario because it leaves Hoffman on Line D and threatens to split the conservative and Tea Party vote.
The Doheny strategy is to convince Hoffman to leave. They would certainly find a face saving way to do it, but from their vantage point a primary is problematic.
This is all sound strategy, but one way for Doheny to pile on is a TV buy in the next four weeks. This shows he has money and is for real. It increases the pressure on Hoffman as he is in a bubble left over from last year.
Hoffman's incredible rise from nowhere leaves him feeling he merely picks up where he left off. Not so. Its a different year....different candidates....and different rules.....
If I were Graham Wise instead of a wise Graham, I would turn up the mass media heat now and and start a stampede that will crush Mr. Hoffman's ability to get on the ballot and retain the D Line.
Just showing up in Speculator for a dinner Hoffman skipped is a start...but that alone won't finish him off. He needs to have people he trusts tell him its time to go.
Of course, I am just a blogger and not a licensed political operative, so take this all with the requisite grain of salt.
20 comments:
A campaign is more than one person that's for sure it's about building your organization.
And deprive the people of a choice on primary day? Why don't you get it over with and just go ahead and endorse Doheny?
Hoffman is setting himself up to be the anti-establishment candidate...outside of the party structure. Little different than last year though as there could be a primary...or Hoffman could forget about the primary and run solely as the Conservative candidate .
Hoyffman would position himself as the true Conservative and force Doheny to divert his resources . Rob Ryan has other big bucks clients like Altshuler in CD1 , a former Green Party member that is receiving Conservative backing(the same district that Ed Cox's son is seeking the Republican line). Ryan was the wizard in the race last year and his attention
Is Brendon Quinn whispering in Liz's ear?
I have predicted the future again.I agree with you it's time to turn up the heat....I think Mr.Doheny has worked his ass off so far but can't lay down and rest, now is not the time. Billy Owens is as smooth as they come I see him as a natural.Mr. Long is already on board if you ask me.I think its all but the sounding of the horn to start the race.Doheny vs Owens its on.
So, it is the money, after all? LOL.
Yes its all about the money. Wall streets and who will owe who favors if we win.. I dont know for think I know what Mr. Hoffman will do but I cant believe he is just going to lay down like Vaugh did in the 1817th race. Not unless Hoffman like Vaugh just really got smart and figured out people dont like him and wont vote for him. If thats the case just lay it down and move aside and assure Owens the win in NOv.
I say let this play out some more so the voters, the ones who should matter, can see the "real" GOP and "real" Conservative sides of that divided camp...
RINO vs FCINO - right?
NY Republicans dont get this anybetter than the nation Repugnacans do. We are sick and tired of the status quo. Dog catcher to President, you all have to go.
Tong
Here's a big lesson for Dohney and/or Hoffman and others:
Bennett Loses GOP Big in Utah
Note: Sen. Bennett is very conservative and those who know him know that... what' up? TEA and Anger anyone?
Wealthy people like Mr. Doheny have ruled this country since it was created. What makes anyone think it will be different this year. There are many discontents and angry people out there but every election we sit and watch the ads, and the people we elect never come through except for themselves.. What the hell anyway
For Mr. Dohney or anyone like him to be bragging about or hawking their Wall Street credentials and ties and successes in these troubling times is a bit like Iran saying their nuclear production is only for peaceful purposes ...
It’s not a good time for that king of bragging. Plus it’s not very believable to say “I’m one of the folks who can use that for successes in DC.” And, quite frankly, it’s a poor standard to measure any trustworthiness about.
According to his girlfriend, Mary, Doheny thinks we are all white trash.
You must be kidding me.. Mary!!! Thats something for you to print this . No doubt this come from the Doheny camp itself for some feeling of pity for him... There is no Mary in his life. There is no significant other in his life. Least by most of our standards./
Absolutely right! It's all about money, and Lawyer Matt Doheny has plenty of that.
While Doheny is out trying to buy the nomination by "spreading the wealth" among the athrosclerotic Republican Party 23rd Congressional District heirarchy (which is responsible for last year's Scozzafava fiasco), Hoffman is working at his self-started business that actually employs North Country people!
no real choice here...it's real "grass roots" or "party as usual".
I,m a repulbican and have been for years.. I am programed. I will vote for Matt Doheny. I believe his money will create less unemployment. I believe his money will lower my taxes. I believe his money will buy my party. I believe his money will help the poor in this country. I believe his money will buy votes and I believe his money will put him in a position to cancel health insurance for mos Americans.so I am GOP I will vote for him. I really hate to listen to reality and possibly do the really proper thing and is listen to who is speaking reality and who is saying whatever you want to hear.
10:40 -- "This is a recording..."
We now return to our regular program already in progress.
... "the athrosclerotic Republican Party 23rd Congressional District heirarchy (which is responsible for last year's Scozzafava fiasco)..." I don't know about that. Seems Liar Doug, and his would be kingmaker Mike Long had a hand in that particular fiasco. Regardless of what she did at the end, she was and is the most qualified person for that job.
Doheny has shown a serious lapse in judgement . that will compromise his vote garnering potential in SLC. His choice of the callow young wannabe from Ogdensburg , "Nick the Quick" Vaugh will be an achilles heel . Serious voters will have a difficult time with that move
Nicky recently retreated from his failed candidacy announcement when his self absorbed approach to politics and his abysmal track record in Ogdensburg, despite his party's 5- 2 majority on the city council failed to impress most locals who are tired of wannabes and windbags who speak as if they know , yet accomplish little of significance .
If this is Doheny's choice for his SENIOR Rep for cities it tells me all i need to know about his decisionmaking potential or lack thereof .
you can't make this stuff up !!
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