You Don't Need A Pollster to Take The President's Political Temperature

A year ago Barack Obama was elected President with 53% of the popular vote. By recent standards a decent margin. Obviously there was good will at the time of his Inauguration and his poll numbers were high.
Now a poll is out this morning putting his approval rating at 48%....You'd think the sky had fallen from listening to the talking heads.
The President is still well liked and a popular man, but his policy initiatives have divided people....so the glow came off and he is back to normal.
In a nation with high unemployment, there is obviously no lack of work in the polling world....They take them everyday and while its inevitable to talk about them, they really don't mean alot unless Mr. Obama falls into the David Paterson range.
In a closely divided electorate, I always have thought Mr. Obama's win came as a result of what I call Dave Mance Republicans who crossed over and voted for change over McCain. You all know some of those type voters.
When it comes to judging whether the President is beatable in 2012, I will not be looking at polls or listening to the talking heads.
I will continue to monitor the Dave Mance voters whom I know. When they start peeling off, then I'll know the President's 53% majority is in peril. Last I heard, Dave is still solid for the President.