Will Doug Hoffman try again ?....After an apparent 49-47 loss to Bill Owens, Mr. Hoffman is leaving open a 2010 bid.
While some have said it's "one and your done" for the novice politician CPA from Lake Placid, Hoffman did score impressively for one starting from obscurity on Line D to knocking the Republican nominee out of the race and almost beating the well-funded and attractive Democratic nominee.
It's no secret Hoffman would face a Republican primary in 2010, presumably from Jefferson County moneymeister Matt Doheny, who would be a formidable fundraiser. Doheny would also enjoy homeboy status in the populous western parts of NY23.
The question is did Hoffman capture lightening in a bottle that can be released again next year, or is NY23 likely to get lost in the 434 other House races in the off-year battle for Congress ?
Hoffman also faces the challenge of proving himself in the speaking arena. The "aw shucks I'm not a politician" ploy will not work next year. He will need to be sharper on the issues and hone his public speaking. You cannot say "I don't know" in the middle of a televised debate as Hoffman did in the one TV matchup held October 29.
And the key player again will be Conservative Chair Mike Long....If Hoffman remains his man, it pretty much forces the GOP to be the me-to party.
Just as Hoffman changed the landscape more than anyone could have imagined in 2009, that same landscape will be changed again next year when a primary, not a back room deal, will decide the nominee. A legitimized GOP nominee, whether Hoffman or Doheny, with Conservative Party support could be in the hunt.
However, it would seem the 39 year old Doheny with his fundraising expertise would have an edge if it gets to be a spending war...which of course it will. Club for Growth will not be weighing in on a GOP primary. Plus Doheny can make the argument he is more of a candidate of the future who holds the same fiscal views as Hoffman, so why not vote for youth ?
People who lose....no matter how much they beat expectations....still lost. And for Hoffman, the question will be ,'whats different that will change things the second time ?"
Doug Hoffman 'seriously' looking at 2010 bid - Andy Barr - POLITICO.com