Will Doug Hoffman try again ?....After an apparent 49-47 loss to Bill Owens, Mr. Hoffman is leaving open a 2010 bid.
While some have said it's "one and your done" for the novice politician CPA from Lake Placid, Hoffman did score impressively for one starting from obscurity on Line D to knocking the Republican nominee out of the race and almost beating the well-funded and attractive Democratic nominee.
It's no secret Hoffman would face a Republican primary in 2010, presumably from Jefferson County moneymeister Matt Doheny, who would be a formidable fundraiser. Doheny would also enjoy homeboy status in the populous western parts of NY23.
The question is did Hoffman capture lightening in a bottle that can be released again next year, or is NY23 likely to get lost in the 434 other House races in the off-year battle for Congress ?
Hoffman also faces the challenge of proving himself in the speaking arena. The "aw shucks I'm not a politician" ploy will not work next year. He will need to be sharper on the issues and hone his public speaking. You cannot say "I don't know" in the middle of a televised debate as Hoffman did in the one TV matchup held October 29.
And the key player again will be Conservative Chair Mike Long....If Hoffman remains his man, it pretty much forces the GOP to be the me-to party.
Just as Hoffman changed the landscape more than anyone could have imagined in 2009, that same landscape will be changed again next year when a primary, not a back room deal, will decide the nominee. A legitimized GOP nominee, whether Hoffman or Doheny, with Conservative Party support could be in the hunt.
However, it would seem the 39 year old Doheny with his fundraising expertise would have an edge if it gets to be a spending war...which of course it will. Club for Growth will not be weighing in on a GOP primary. Plus Doheny can make the argument he is more of a candidate of the future who holds the same fiscal views as Hoffman, so why not vote for youth ?
People who lose....no matter how much they beat expectations....still lost. And for Hoffman, the question will be ,'whats different that will change things the second time ?"
Doug Hoffman 'seriously' looking at 2010 bid - Andy Barr - POLITICO.com
6 comments:
let's watch the boys, they threw dede under the bus when then thought it was right for them. Let's see when Doheny says I will, then it will be F&3K the Conservative's and " we gotzta a go with our boy"
Doug hoffman went against his word and that's why he lost,got burned no chance in 2010.
Here's the deal. Based on the last election results, it seems clear that the north country WANTS to elect a republican. The only reason that didn't happen was due to a colossal miscalculation by the republican party. Because the far right was not satisfied with the Dede option (and I can't say I blame them) they wanted an alternative. They would have put ANYONE up instead of Dede. Hoffman was exactly that..."anyone". The guy is ill informed and unimpressive, but he was a placeholder for anyone who wanted to vote for "none of the above". The republican party can DEFINITELY get a better candidate on the ticket now that they seem to be aware that they cannot completely abandon the right. Doheny is actually a great choice for 2010 - not quite as conservative as Hoffman, which will appeal to the moderates who are pissed about what happened to Dede - and no where near as liberal as Dede, which will appeal to Mike Long and the conservatives. Besides, he is energetic, well funded, and really seems to love the community. Hopefully people will embrace his success this time around rather than holding it against him. I just don't get that. If I were hiring someone to work for me I would want a smart, successful person, especially if he were willing to work for me for a lot less then he would be paid elsewhere...jackpot! So PLEASE people, lose the chip on the shoulder and be grateful that someone like Doheny wants to work for us. He would make us proud of the north country again.
Boy, the GOP will hate me for this... but hey, the story is out there... to wit:
Q: How do you spell hypocrisy?
A: R.N.C.
RNC's Cigna Health Insurance Plan Covers Elective Abortion (Option)
Ooops.
Som, would that be just for women whom they DO NOT want to have any 'optional' coverage, or just for "pro-lifeers" (in the closet) as it were?
* Boy, I hate to post this stuff, but gosh - facts are facts, right?
Duck! What duck?
Dan - you should start your own blog. You have a tendency to post comments that have nothing to do with the host's original post. Anyone who wants to read about the topic at hand is forced to weed through your irrelevant commentary. I am not passing judgment on you your comments and I believe, in the right setting, many are interesting and deserve to be posted, but you post these things under blogs that have nothing to do with what you are saying. Please start a blog or, at least post relevant comments - it is disrespectful to the hosts of the sites you post on to use their blogs for your own stream of consciousness.
Golly whiz Dan, facts ARE facts, and the fact is that you lost. Some of your ideas have merit, and some are just one man's rant. You are invited to run again next year, no one would deny you that privilege, but I prefer to support a candidate who has a better probablilty of playing well with others. Sometimes the criticism is just too too overbearing. We (many, not all) and those you rail against just don't share your enthusiasm for gotcha politics. It's just too corrosive, and solves nothing. My father insisted on being right all the time, as many did during the past 75 years, but guess what? No one wants to be around him.
Tony
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