The hope in the GOP, or what's left of it, is that Conservative candidate Doug Hoffman will wither on the vine and Dierdre Scozzafava will edge out Bill Owens for the NY-23 Seat.
Trouble for DeDe is Hoffman is not going away and has gained support from former House majority leader Dick Armey and a $300K TV Ad buy from the Club for Growth.
So while Scozzafava's campaign is showing more focus and is on air, her best hope is that the candidacy of Owens has peaked.
It's a strange race. Every day I talk to prominent Dems who are backing Scozzafava.....plus many Republicans as well. But there are lots of Republicans who have bolted. Its tough to know who is voting for whom. From talking to folks I have noticed some questioning of Mr. Owens, particularly over his lack of presence. Today and tomorrow he is in NYC shaking the money tree. He is slated for a dinner in Watertown later this week.
The lineup for debates and forums is hard to pin down, but Owens doesn't have much presence there either.
Bill Owens is still the favorite to win based on the GOP split and his clear money advantage. But a lot can happen in two weeks and I call the race a toss-up with the three candidates bunched within five or six points.
The Club For Growth - http://www.clubforgrowth.org