The announcement that John McHugh's long awaited appointment would move forward means an end will be in sight for the sort of on again, sometimes off again race to represent New York's 23rd Congressional District.
It looks like this Doug Hoffman may be for real. I thought he was just trying to bluff the GOP into dumping DeDe and I still think thats a possibility.
He may indeed run, and because his name is next to the word 'conservative' on the ballot, he will get 16 % of the vote. The sort-of Democrat from Plattsburgh, Bill Owens, will get a Democratic baseline vote of 32% and Ms. Scozzafava wins with 52%.
If Hoffman folds, look for 58-42 as the margin.
Broadcasters won't get the windfall they hoped for but some cash will be spent.
Already, the political class is looking ahead to the special election to fill Scozzafava's 122nd Assembly seat.
County Legislature Chair Ken Blankenbush feigns indifference but will not win an Oscar for his purported blase' attitude towards the seat.
The other name you hear a lot is a guy named Lucas from Lewis County. There is always Behling. And how about a sleeper candidate....Instead of Dave Renzi, how about his very able, affable and attractive bride Jessica ?
7 comments:
Lucas has no chance. He isn't even going to win re-election to his district now.
How about AJR uncle?? You know the one she picked for the county Legislator position.
Lucas has too many conflicts of interest that he is dealing with. He runs the trail program even with a Ethics Board's letter stating he many not have anything to do with it. Lewis county is his way or no way.
Why do you assume there would be a special election? The Governor doesn't have to call one, and can just wait for the normal election in Nov. 2010. That would save money, and, frankly with the balance of the Assembly, the seat is irrelevant. As for names, McGrath continues to pop up in the chattering class of Lewis County. Lucas is a joke.
Why do you need a special election to fill a seat that is really unneccesary to begin with,? Save the money, Does Ms. Renzi need pension credits?
McGrath is back in NYC and will not come back to help a party that screwed him for a Republican. He is making way to much money to run for Assembly.
McGrath is very much still in the NoCo. He was at the Oswego County Dems Golf Outing today - I saw him there myself. He is very popular with Oswego Dems and was chatting it up with lots of local Dem candidates for local offices.
FYI, Owens was a no show at this event. Senator Aubertine was also a no show, but at least he, and McGrath sponsored holes.
McGrath may be -deservedly- mad at the NoCo Dems, but he is clearly keeping a profile and options open.
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